As the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) prepares for its next mutual evaluation of Singapore in June 2025, the city-state is accelerating its clean-up of the virtual asset ecosystem. What may appear to be a sudden regulatory clampdown is, in fact, a carefully orchestrated operation years in the making. For Singapore, this is a decisive battle to safeguard its international financial hub status—and for the Web3 industry, a deep and defining reshuffle.
1. Tightening Regulations Were Always on the Horizon
Much has been said about Singapore’s “harsh” June directive to remove unlicensed VASPs. But those familiar with FATF requirements are hardly surprised. Since FATF’s 2021 update to its Virtual Assets Guidance, member states have been expected to implement higher standards for licensing, monitoring, and enforcement. Singapore is simply aligning its final steps before the compliance deadline.
In its 2024 National Risk Assessment report, Singapore classified money laundering risks associated with virtual assets as “medium-high.” The report revealed:
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DeFi’s anonymity poses serious tracing challenges;
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Cross-border crypto transfers are increasingly exploited by criminals;
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Over S$8 billion (US$6 billion) in illicit assets have been intercepted in the past five years, some involving crypto.
Regulators have long been on alert. The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) introduced the DTSP licensing regime, which now forms the “model answer” to FATF assessments. From July 2025, unlicensed entities will be forced to cease operations. Even government officials are barred from engaging with non-licensed VASPs during the assessment period—a clear signal: only clean, compliant players are allowed to stay.
2. A Downgrade Is Too Costly for Singapore to Bear
While FATF has no direct enforcement power, its greylist and blacklist carry weighty global consequences. Being downgraded could lead to:
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Restricted cross-border capital flows;
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Withdrawal or restrictions by international financial institutions;
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Reputational damage in global markets;
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Escalating compliance costs in dealings with other countries.
As a key financial hub handling capital flows far beyond its GDP scale, Singapore simply cannot afford to fumble its regulatory footing. A downgrade wouldn’t just be an administrative embarrassment—it would be a strategic failure.
3. Not a Crackdown, but a Redrawing of Trust Boundaries
This isn’t a war on Web3. It’s a recalibration of trust. In a world trending toward tighter compliance, the digital asset industry must evolve or be excluded from mainstream financial systems.
MAS’s regulatory approach is structured and deliberate:
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Time was given: more than three years of transition since 2022;
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Opportunities were offered: licensing exemptions and application channels were clearly communicated;
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Boundaries were set: but the bottom line is non-negotiable.
Singapore has led regulatory innovation before. After 2008, it rose to global prominence in fintech. Now, facing the “wild west” phase of Web3, it’s wielding regulation not to destroy, but to civilize.
4. Hong Kong Is Not a “Plan B”—It’s a Different Bet
Some believe Hong Kong will pick up the pieces of Singapore’s regulatory exits. But reality may not be so simple.
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Hong Kong is also an FATF member and implemented its VASP regime in 2023, with licensing standards on par with Singapore;
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Its Web3 growth is heavily tethered to mainland China’s policy signals—particularly cautious in areas like stablecoins and on-chain finance;
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The SFC’s capital-market-driven logic makes it less receptive to experimental, protocol-level DeFi.
In short, Hong Kong isn’t a regulatory refuge—it’s pursuing its own high-stakes balancing act between compliance and innovation. For unlicensed projects, it may not be a sanctuary.
5. Final Thoughts: How Should Web3 Founders Respond?
If you’re a Web3 builder, what does this mean for you?
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Compliance is now your entry ticket: Without regulatory validation, even the flashiest tech is just a closed-loop game;
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License arbitrage is ending: The era of regulatory hide-and-seek is closing fast. There will only be two types of projects: compliant ones, and dead ones;
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Centralized and on-chain activities will be regulated differently: Exchanges, custodial wallets, fiat ramps will face licensing scrutiny; while DeFi and P2P will move toward protocol-level responsibility and smart contract transparency.
The outcome is not yet written—but the tempo is set. For founders with long-term vision, this is a prime moment to reorganize teams and pave a clear compliance roadmap.
Singapore isn’t shutting doors—it’s throwing a coming-of-age ceremony for the crypto world. FATF isn’t an apocalypse—it’s a passport checkpoint.
May your project not be a bubble in the storm, but a vessel that sails through it.
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